Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.005380 0.005941 0.006520 0.007164 0.007857 0.008579 0.009389
2025-01-05 0.004601 0.005416 0.006302 0.007330 0.008488 0.009747 0.011216
2025-01-12 0.003937 0.004866 0.005910 0.007166 0.008626 0.010260 0.012220
2025-01-19 0.003498 0.004506 0.005675 0.007121 0.008845 0.010822 0.013247
2025-01-26 0.003111 0.004162 0.005417 0.007008 0.008951 0.011226 0.014069
2025-02-02 0.002829 0.003919 0.005254 0.006984 0.009141 0.011712 0.014979
2025-02-09 0.002582 0.003697 0.005095 0.006946 0.009297 0.012147 0.015823
2025-02-16 0.002448 0.003608 0.005094 0.007096 0.009681 0.012859 0.017011
2025-02-23 0.002239 0.003402 0.004926 0.007019 0.009766 0.013192 0.017726
2025-03-02 0.002086 0.003262 0.004834 0.007030 0.009957 0.013655 0.018606
2025-03-09 0.002030 0.003252 0.004912 0.007266 0.010442 0.014498 0.019979
2025-03-16 0.001928 0.003167 0.004883 0.007352 0.010726 0.015083 0.021027
2025-03-23 0.001856 0.003126 0.004916 0.007529 0.011146 0.015865 0.022363
2025-03-30 0.001786 0.003085 0.004945 0.007702 0.011563 0.016652 0.023723
2025-04-06 0.001621 0.002886 0.004739 0.007531 0.011500 0.016796 0.024232
2025-04-13 0.001505 0.002756 0.004624 0.007484 0.011602 0.017157 0.025030
2025-04-20 0.001380 0.002604 0.004468 0.007367 0.011599 0.017371 0.025628
2025-04-27 0.001289 0.002500 0.004377 0.007342 0.011722 0.017755 0.026459
2025-05-04 0.001202 0.002396 0.004282 0.007303 0.011820 0.018103 0.027244
2025-05-11 0.001166 0.002376 0.004315 0.007459 0.012204 0.018854 0.028592
2025-05-18 0.001081 0.002264 0.004198 0.007378 0.012235 0.019108 0.029251
2025-05-25 0.001021 0.002194 0.004143 0.007390 0.012402 0.019553 0.030182
2025-06-01 0.001011 0.002214 0.004236 0.007636 0.012922 0.020511 0.031846